Updated on February 22, 2026 Shows outcome probability of each result
Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty Lviv
1
1
66.8%
X
23.2%
2
9.9%
1X
90.1%
X2
33.2%
12
76.8%
Kuwait
Kuwait SC Kaifan
Al Shabab SC Kuwait
1
1
67.8%
X
22.1%
2
10.1%
1X
89.9%
X2
32.2%
12
77.9%
Singapore
Lion City Sailors
Tampines Rovers
1
1
73.9%
X
13.5%
2
12.6%
1X
87.4%
X2
26.1%
12
86.5%
Turkey
Bodrum FK
Manisa FK
1
1
63.3%
X
23.3%
2
13.3%
1X
86.7%
X2
36.7%
12
76.7%
Indonesia
Persib Bandung
Persita Tangerang
1
1
52.9%
X
33.8%
2
13.3%
1X
86.7%
X2
47.1%
12
66.2%
Italy
Catania
Giugliano
1
1
54%
X
32.6%
2
13.4%
1X
86.6%
X2
46%
12
67.4%
England
Sheffield United
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
57.9%
X
27.5%
2
14.6%
1X
85.4%
X2
42.1%
12
72.5%
Andorra
Penya Encarnada
CE Carroi
1
1
62.7%
X
22.7%
2
14.6%
1X
85.4%
X2
37.3%
12
77.3%
Cyprus
Omonia Aradippou
AEK Larnaca
2
1
14.8%
X
17.7%
2
67.5%
1X
32.5%
X2
85.2%
12
82.3%
Turkey
Erzurumspor
Serikspor
1
1
58.6%
X
26.4%
2
15%
1X
85%
X2
41.4%
12
73.6%
Italy
Roma
Cremonese
1
1
56.5%
X
28.2%
2
15.3%
1X
84.7%
X2
43.5%
12
71.8%
San Marino
SS Cosmos
San Marino Academy
1
1
56.7%
X
28%
2
15.3%
1X
84.7%
X2
43.3%
12
72%
Spain
Sabadell
Atletico Sanluqueno
1
1
51.8%
X
32.9%
2
15.4%
1X
84.6%
X2
48.2%
12
67.1%
Bulgaria
Fratria Varna
Marek Dupnitsa
1
1
51.8%
X
32.4%
2
15.8%
1X
84.2%
X2
48.2%
12
67.6%
Serbia
Crvena zvezda Belgrade
Partizan Belgrade
1
1
50.2%
X
33.9%
2
15.9%
1X
84.1%
X2
49.8%
12
66.1%
Portugal
Porto
Rio Ave
1
1
55.1%
X
28.9%
2
16.1%
1X
83.9%
X2
44.9%
12
71.1%
Ecuador
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City
1
1
53.7%
X
30%
2
16.3%
1X
83.7%
X2
46.3%
12
70%
Andorra
Esperanca d'Andorra
FC Ranger's
2
1
16.6%
X
16.4%
2
67%
1X
33%
X2
83.4%
12
83.6%
Italy
Carpi
Bra
1
1
50%
X
33.5%
2
16.5%
1X
83.5%
X2
50%
12
66.5%
Scotland
Celtic
Hibernian
1
1
51.8%
X
31.6%
2
16.6%
1X
83.4%
X2
48.2%
12
68.4%
Mexico
Leon
Santos Laguna
1
1
55.9%
X
27.3%
2
16.8%
1X
83.2%
X2
44.1%
12
72.7%
Turkey
Corum
Umraniyespor
1
1
50.8%
X
32.3%
2
16.9%
1X
83.1%
X2
49.2%
12
67.7%
El Salvador
Luis Angel Firpo
Hercules San Salvador
1
1
54.7%
X
28.4%
2
16.9%
1X
83.1%
X2
45.3%
12
71.6%
Kuwait
Al Nasr SC Kuwait
Al Fahaheel FC
2
1
17.1%
X
22.4%
2
60.4%
1X
39.6%
X2
82.9%
12
77.6%
Morocco
Raja Casablanca
IR Tanger
1
1
46.3%
X
36.6%
2
17.1%
1X
82.9%
X2
53.7%
12
63.4%
Argentina
Chaco For Ever
San Telmo
1
1
48.6%
X
34.2%
2
17.2%
1X
82.8%
X2
51.4%
12
65.8%
Honduras
Platense FC
Juticalpa FC
1
1
53.3%
X
29.5%
2
17.2%
1X
82.8%
X2
46.7%
12
70.5%
Slovenia
NK Maribor
Bravo Ljubljana
1
1
55.8%
X
27.1%
2
17.2%
1X
82.8%
X2
44.2%
12
72.9%
Greece
AEK Athens
Levadiakos
1
1
46.8%
X
35.8%
2
17.4%
1X
82.6%
X2
53.2%
12
64.2%
Spain
Villarreal
Valencia
1
1
59.1%
X
23.5%
2
17.4%
1X
82.6%
X2
40.9%
12
76.5%
Italy
Milan
Parma
1
1
46.7%
X
35.9%
2
17.4%
1X
82.6%
X2
53.3%
12
64.1%
San Marino
FC Domagnano
SS Murata
1
1
52.9%
X
29.7%
2
17.4%
1X
82.6%
X2
47.1%
12
70.3%
Morocco
RSB Berkane
FUS Rabat
1
1
45.7%
X
36.7%
2
17.6%
1X
82.4%
X2
54.3%
12
63.3%
Spain
Barcelona
Levante
1
1
56.5%
X
25.8%
2
17.7%
1X
82.3%
X2
43.5%
12
74.2%
Switzerland
Vaduz
Neuchatel Xamax
1
1
54.5%
X
27.8%
2
17.7%
1X
82.3%
X2
45.5%
12
72.2%
Ecuador
Universidad Catolica Quito
Emelec Guayaquil
1
1
48%
X
34.3%
2
17.7%
1X
82.3%
X2
52%
12
65.7%
Netherlands
FC Utrecht
FC Zwolle
1
1
58.6%
X
23.6%
2
17.8%
1X
82.2%
X2
41.4%
12
76.4%
Qatar
Al-Wakrah SC
Al-Sadd SC Doha
2
1
17.9%
X
22.1%
2
60%
1X
40%
X2
82.1%
12
77.9%
UAE
Baniyas SC
Al-Ain FC
2
1
19%
X
18.2%
2
62.8%
1X
37.2%
X2
81%
12
81.8%
Luxembourg
Rodange 91
Differdange FC
2
1
18.6%
X
25.1%
2
56.3%
1X
43.7%
X2
81.4%
12
74.9%
Italy
Team Altamura
Benevento
2
1
18.6%
X
23.6%
2
57.8%
1X
42.2%
X2
81.4%
12
76.4%
Argentina
Argentinos Juniors
Lanus
1
1
42%
X
39.4%
2
18.6%
1X
81.4%
X2
58%
12
60.6%
Japan
Roasso Kumamoto
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1
1
53.3%
X
27.9%
2
18.7%
1X
81.3%
X2
46.7%
12
72.1%
Greece
Aris Thessaloniki
Kifisia
1
1
44.8%
X
36.5%
2
18.7%
1X
81.3%
X2
55.2%
12
63.5%
Peru
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
1
1
52.2%
X
29.1%
2
18.7%
1X
81.3%
X2
47.8%
12
70.9%
Malta
Floriana
Hibernians
1
1
47.7%
X
33.5%
2
18.8%
1X
81.2%
X2
52.3%
12
66.5%
Uruguay
Penarol Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
56.7%
X
24.5%
2
18.8%
1X
81.2%
X2
43.3%
12
75.5%
Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
Polissya Zhytomyr
2
1
18.8%
X
26.7%
2
54.5%
1X
45.5%
X2
81.2%
12
73.3%
Peru
Cusco FC
Comerciantes Unidos
1
1
49.2%
X
31.8%
2
19%
1X
81%
X2
50.8%
12
68.2%
Italy
Salernitana
Monopoli 1966
1
1
48.9%
X
32.1%
2
19%
1X
81%
X2
51.1%
12
67.9%
Israel
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Haifa
1
1
50%
X
30.7%
2
19.4%
1X
80.6%
X2
50%
12
69.3%
Mexico
Club Tijuana
Mazatlan
1
1
47.6%
X
33%
2
19.4%
1X
80.6%
X2
52.4%
12
67%
Peru
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
1
1
50.1%
X
30.5%
2
19.4%
1X
80.6%
X2
49.9%
12
69.5%
Italy
Union Brescia
Pro Patria
1
1
48.7%
X
31.8%
2
19.5%
1X
80.5%
X2
51.3%
12
68.2%
El Salvador
Inter FA Santa Tecla
Aguila San Miguel
2
1
19.5%
X
24.3%
2
56.2%
1X
43.8%
X2
80.5%
12
75.7%
Guatemala
Deportivo Mictlan
Marquense
1
1
41.2%
X
39.2%
2
19.6%
1X
80.4%
X2
58.8%
12
60.8%
Italy
Crotone
Foggia
1
1
45.1%
X
35.3%
2
19.6%
1X
80.4%
X2
54.9%
12
64.7%
Belgium
Genk
Standard Liege
1
1
50.6%
X
29.8%
2
19.6%
1X
80.4%
X2
49.4%
12
70.2%
Netherlands
Go Ahead Eagles
Heracles Almelo
1
1
51.7%
X
28.6%
2
19.7%
1X
80.3%
X2
48.3%
12
71.4%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Zrinjski Mostar
Siroki Brijeg
1
1
42.3%
X
37.9%
2
19.8%
1X
80.2%
X2
57.7%
12
62.1%
Denmark
Silkeborg
FC Midtjylland
2
1
19.9%
X
25%
2
55.1%
1X
44.9%
X2
80.1%
12
75%
Thailand
Bangkok United
Muangthong United
1
1
48.8%
X
31.3%
2
19.9%
1X
80.1%
X2
51.2%
12
68.7%
Malaysia
Kuala Lumpur City
Brunei DPMM FC
1
1
55.5%
X
24.5%
2
19.9%
1X
80.1%
X2
44.5%
12
75.5%
England
Tottenham
Arsenal
2
1
24.7%
X
20%
2
55.3%
1X
44.7%
X2
75.3%
12
80%
Portugal
Felgueiras 1932
Penafiel
1
1
41%
X
39%
2
20%
1X
80%
X2
59%
12
61%
Japan
Tokushima Vortis
Kataller Toyama
1
1
47.1%
X
32.8%
2
20.1%
1X
79.9%
X2
52.9%
12
67.2%
Czech Republic
Bohemians 1905 Prague
Dukla Prague
1
1
46.8%
X
33.1%
2
20.1%
1X
79.9%
X2
53.2%
12
66.9%
Bulgaria
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Levski Sofia
2
1
29.1%
X
20.2%
2
50.7%
1X
49.3%
X2
70.9%
12
79.8%
Bulgaria
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
45.3%
X
34.4%
2
20.3%
1X
79.7%
X2
54.7%
12
65.6%
USA
D.C. United
Philadelphia Union
2
1
20.4%
X
23.7%
2
55.9%
1X
44.1%
X2
79.6%
12
76.3%
Germany
Hannover
Dynamo Dresden
1
1
48.8%
X
30.7%
2
20.5%
1X
79.5%
X2
51.2%
12
69.3%
Romania
Unirea Slobozia
Universitatea Craiova
2
1
20.6%
X
21.9%
2
57.4%
1X
42.6%
X2
79.4%
12
78.1%
Australia
Central Coast Mariners
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
20.7%
X
24.4%
2
54.9%
1X
45.1%
X2
79.3%
12
75.6%
Turkey
Besiktas
Goztepe
1
1
44.9%
X
34.1%
2
21%
1X
79%
X2
55.1%
12
65.9%
Azerbaijan
Sabah Baku
Kapaz Ganja
1
1
47.5%
X
31.4%
2
21.1%
1X
78.9%
X2
52.5%
12
68.6%
Czech Republic
Banik Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
1
1
47.8%
X
31.1%
2
21.1%
1X
78.9%
X2
52.2%
12
68.9%
Turkey
Bandirmaspor
Hatayspor
1
1
47.8%
X
31.1%
2
21.1%
1X
78.9%
X2
52.2%
12
68.9%
Luxembourg
Victoria Rosport
Progres Niedercorn
2
1
21.2%
X
25.6%
2
53.2%
1X
46.8%
X2
78.8%
12
74.4%
Nicaragua
Diriangen
Managua FC
1
1
47.1%
X
31.7%
2
21.2%
1X
78.8%
X2
52.9%
12
68.3%
Turkey
Gaziantep FK
Trabzonspor
2
1
21.2%
X
26.4%
2
52.5%
1X
47.5%
X2
78.8%
12
73.6%
Qatar
Al-Rayyan SC
Al-Ahli SC Doha
1
1
52.4%
X
26.4%
2
21.2%
1X
78.8%
X2
47.6%
12
73.6%
England
Nottingham
Liverpool
2
1
21.5%
X
23.5%
2
55%
1X
45%
X2
78.5%
12
76.5%
Spain
Barakaldo
Osasuna B
1
1
42.2%
X
36.1%
2
21.6%
1X
78.4%
X2
57.8%
12
63.9%
Serbia
Spartak Subotica
Radnicki 1923
2
1
23.9%
X
21.8%
2
54.4%
1X
45.6%
X2
76.1%
12
78.2%
Scotland
Livingston
Rangers
2
1
21.8%
X
21.8%
2
56.4%
1X
43.6%
X2
78.2%
12
78.2%
Belgium
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
SK Beveren
2
1
21.9%
X
27.6%
2
50.6%
1X
49.4%
X2
78.1%
12
72.4%
El Salvador
Cacahuatique
FAS Santa Ana
2
1
22%
X
23.8%
2
54.2%
1X
45.8%
X2
78%
12
76.2%
Greece
AEL Larissa
PAOK Thessaloniki
2
1
22%
X
23.1%
2
54.8%
1X
45.2%
X2
78%
12
76.9%
Turkey
Fatih Karagumruk
Samsunspor
2
1
22.1%
X
24%
2
54%
1X
46%
X2
77.9%
12
76%
El Salvador
Platense Zacatecoluca
Isidro Metapan
2
1
29.4%
X
22.1%
2
48.5%
1X
51.5%
X2
70.6%
12
77.9%
Albania
KF Tirana
Teuta Durres
2
1
22.1%
X
24.3%
2
53.6%
1X
46.4%
X2
77.9%
12
75.7%
India
Bengaluru FC
NorthEast United
1
1
44%
X
33.8%
2
22.2%
1X
77.8%
X2
56%
12
66.2%
Switzerland
Lugano
Lausanne
1
1
46.6%
X
31%
2
22.4%
1X
77.6%
X2
53.4%
12
69%
Italy
Pontedera
Ascoli
2
1
22.4%
X
24.4%
2
53.2%
1X
46.8%
X2
77.6%
12
75.6%
Chile
Universidad de Chile
Deportes Limache
1
1
44.3%
X
33.3%
2
22.4%
1X
77.6%
X2
55.7%
12
66.7%
Thailand
Ayutthaya United
BG Pathum United
2
1
24.2%
X
22.4%
2
53.4%
1X
46.6%
X2
75.8%
12
77.6%
USA
Vancouver Whitecaps
Real Salt Lake
1
1
49.8%
X
27.7%
2
22.5%
1X
77.5%
X2
50.2%
12
72.3%
Slovakia
MFK Ruzomberok
Slovan Bratislava
2
1
22.6%
X
23.4%
2
54.1%
1X
45.9%
X2
77.4%
12
76.6%
Japan
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
1
22.7%
X
24.9%
2
52.4%
1X
47.6%
X2
77.3%
12
75.1%
Croatia
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
2
1
23%
X
22.9%
2
54%
1X
46%
X2
77%
12
77.1%
Denmark
Randers FC
Fredericia
1
1
48.6%
X
28.3%
2
23%
1X
77%
X2
51.4%
12
71.7%
Bulgaria
Beroe Stara Zagora
Arda Kardzhali
2
1
26.4%
X
23.1%
2
50.4%
1X
49.6%
X2
73.6%
12
76.9%
Luxembourg
Union Titus Petange
UNA Strassen
2
1
27.7%
X
23.2%
2
49.1%
1X
50.9%
X2
72.3%
12
76.8%
Slovenia
NK Aluminij Kidricevo
NK Celje
2
1
26.9%
X
23.2%
2
49.9%
1X
50.1%
X2
73.1%
12
76.8%
France
Angers
Lille
2
1
23.3%
X
23.4%
2
53.3%
1X
46.7%
X2
76.7%
12
76.6%
Germany
Heidenheim
Stuttgart
2
1
23.3%
X
24.5%
2
52.1%
1X
47.9%
X2
76.7%
12
75.5%
Malaysia
Sabah FC
Johor Darul Takzim
2
1
23.7%
X
26.2%
2
50.1%
1X
49.9%
X2
76.3%
12
73.8%
Poland
Slask Wroclaw
Odra Opole
1
1
45.5%
X
30.8%
2
23.7%
1X
76.3%
X2
54.5%
12
69.2%
England
Crystal Palace
Wolverhampton
1
1
41.6%
X
34.6%
2
23.8%
1X
76.2%
X2
58.4%
12
65.4%
San Marino
SC Faetano
SS Virtus
2
1
23.8%
X
25.4%
2
50.8%
1X
49.2%
X2
76.2%
12
74.6%
Mexico
Necaxa
Deportivo Toluca
2
1
28.1%
X
23.8%
2
48.1%
1X
51.9%
X2
71.9%
12
76.2%
USA
San Diego FC
CF Montreal
1
1
45.7%
X
30.3%
2
23.9%
1X
76.1%
X2
54.3%
12
69.7%
Japan
Kamatamare Sanuki
Albirex Niigata
2
1
23.9%
X
25.1%
2
51%
1X
49%
X2
76.1%
12
74.9%
Japan
Tochigi SC
Vegalta Sendai
2
1
23.9%
X
26.3%
2
49.8%
1X
50.2%
X2
76.1%
12
73.7%
Belgium
Zulte Waregem
Anderlecht
2
1
29.2%
X
24%
2
46.8%
1X
53.2%
X2
70.8%
12
76%
USA
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
1
1
46.5%
X
29.4%
2
24.1%
1X
75.9%
X2
53.5%
12
70.6%
Germany
Erzgebirge Aue
Energie Cottbus
2
1
24.2%
X
27.2%
2
48.6%
1X
51.4%
X2
75.8%
12
72.8%
Poland
Polonia Bytom
Pogon Siedlce
1
1
49.9%
X
25.6%
2
24.4%
1X
75.6%
X2
50.1%
12
74.4%
Guatemala
Municipal
Antigua GFC
1
1
46.3%
X
29.1%
2
24.6%
1X
75.4%
X2
53.7%
12
70.9%
Hungary
Paksi
Gyori ETO
2
1
25.7%
X
24.8%
2
49.6%
1X
50.4%
X2
74.3%
12
75.2%
Netherlands
Feyenoord
Telstar Velsen
1
1
42.3%
X
32.3%
2
25.3%
1X
74.7%
X2
57.7%
12
67.7%
USA
Nashville SC
New England Revolution
1
1
43.5%
X
31.1%
2
25.4%
1X
74.6%
X2
56.5%
12
68.9%
Japan
Gifu
Iwaki FC
2
1
25.9%
X
27%
2
47.1%
1X
52.9%
X2
74.1%
12
73%
Greece
OFI Crete
Panathinaikos
2
1
26.3%
X
31.3%
2
42.4%
1X
57.6%
X2
73.7%
12
68.7%
Czech Republic
Teplice
Sigma Olomouc
1
1
37.6%
X
35%
2
27.3%
1X
72.7%
X2
62.4%
12
65%
India
Kerala Blasters
Mumbai City
2
1
29.4%
X
27.9%
2
42.7%
1X
57.3%
X2
70.6%
12
72.1%
Argentina
Central Cordoba
Tigre Victoria
2
1
31.4%
X
28.2%
2
40.4%
1X
59.6%
X2
68.6%
12
71.8%
Portugal
Portimonense
Academico de Viseu
2
1
28.2%
X
29.2%
2
42.6%
1X
57.4%
X2
71.8%
12
70.8%
Switzerland
Wil
Lausanne-Ouchy
2
1
30%
X
28.8%
2
41.2%
1X
58.8%
X2
70%
12
71.2%
Spain
Racing Santander
Burgos CF
1
1
37.7%
X
32.7%
2
29.6%
1X
70.4%
X2
62.3%
12
67.3%
Denmark
AGF Aarhus
Viborg
1
1
39.7%
X
30.1%
2
30.1%
1X
69.9%
X2
60.3%
12
69.9%
Switzerland
Sion
Young Boys
1
1
36.5%
X
31.1%
2
32.3%
1X
67.7%
X2
63.5%
12
68.9%
Germany
Freiburg
Borussia M'gladbach
1
1
34.6%
X
33.9%
2
31.5%
1X
68.5%
X2
65.4%
12
66.1%
Serbia
Radnicki Nis
IMT New Belgrade
1
1
33.9%
X
32.3%
2
33.8%
1X
66.2%
X2
66.1%
12
67.7%
Chile
Audax Italiano
Everton Vina del Mar
1
1
33.7%
X
33.3%
2
33%
1X
67%
X2
66.3%
12
66.7%

How to Win More Football 1×2 Bets

I’ve been betting on sports for years, and I’m here to share what I’ve learned. A football 1×2 predictions bet is the simplest type of bet. You pick one of three outcomes: the home team wins (1), the match ends in a draw (x), or the away team wins (2). That’s it, but you need a plan.

5 Reasons Why You are Losing your Bets

This isn’t just theory, it’s what I’ve seen burn bettors week after week:

  1. Betting with Your Heart (or Hate), Not Your Head:
    • “Manchester United have to win this, they’re United!” Famous name ≠ automatic win. Big clubs have off days, play badly away, or face fired-up underdogs. Betting on them because they’re big, ignoring current form, injuries, or the opposition, is a fast track to losing.
    • “I can’t stand that team, I hope they lose!” Great, hope away. But betting against a team purely because you dislike them is just as dumb. If they’re in form, at home, and playing a weak side, your hate bet is likely just a donation to the bookie.
  2. Following the Crowd Off a Cliff (The “Public” Trap):
    • “Everyone’s talking about this ‘sure thing’ on Twitter/forums…” If “everyone” is piling onto one outcome in football 1×2 predictions, the odds plummet. That means even if it wins, you get paid peanuts relative to the actual risk. More importantly, the crowd is often wrong, swayed by hype, recent headlines, or big names (see point 1!). By the time the public latches onto a “sure thing,” the value is usually long gone. You’re buying high.
  3. The Siren Song of the Big Name (Ignoring Context):
    • “PSG are playing some no-name team, easy home win!” Sometimes, yes. Often, no. Is PSG resting stars before a Champions League game? Is the “no-name” team fighting desperately against relegation? Is it a cup game where the underdog throws everything at it? Big teams don’t win every game against smaller teams, especially when motivation or scheduling is skewed. Assuming they do ignores the reality of football.
  4. Chasing Losses Like a Madman (The Death Spiral):
    • “I lost $50 on the early game… I need to win it back on the 3pm kickoffs!” This is the absolute killer in football 1×2 predictions. You’re now betting not based on value or analysis, but on pure emotion and desperation. You force bets on games you wouldn’t normally touch. You stake more than your usual amount trying to claw back losses fast. You make reckless choices. This almost always leads to digging a deeper hole. One bad bet turns into a terrible day.
  5. Ignoring the Draw (The Hidden Pitfall):
    • “Draw? Nah, someone will win…” Many punters only think Home or Away. They see the Draw as boring or unlikely. But draws happen a lot , roughly 1 in 4 games in many leagues. Ignoring the Draw completely, or never considering it as a viable option even when the match screams tight contest (two defensively solid mid-table teams, a derby, end-of-season dead rubber), means you’re blind to a significant chunk of potential winning outcomes. The odds on a Draw are often more attractive too.

Use Stats to Your Advantage in Football 1×2 Predictions

Most people glance at the last 5 results – “W, W, L, D, W” – and think they’ve got a handle on things. That’s like judging a book by its cover while wearing blurry glasses. Here’s how the pros actually break it down, and why the basic win/loss column lies.

Study Recent Form

This is one of the first things I look at. I don’t just glance at the last five results. I look at how those games were won or lost. A team might have 3 wins, but if two of them were narrow escapes against weak sides, that’s not impressive. On the other hand, a team with two losses might have played tough opponents and still looked solid.

Key things I focus on:

  • Are they creating chances or just scraping by?
  • Are their goals coming from open play or lucky set pieces?
  • Did they dominate or were they hanging on?

If a team’s form is shaky, I usually stay away or go smaller on that bet.

Home and Away Stats Matter

This is massive. Some clubs thrive at home because of the crowd, pitch size, or even climate. Others can’t handle the pressure and play better away where expectations are lower, especially in football 1×2 predictions.

What I always check:

  • Points per game at home vs away
  • Goals scored and conceded
  • Clean sheets
  • Travel distance (especially in international fixtures)

For example, if Stoke is playing at home on a cold, rainy day, I’m much more likely to back them than if they’re playing away at Brighton with no momentum.

Read Head-to-Head Like a Pro

Some matchups are just bad for certain teams. Style of play, confidence, and even mental blocks can come into it. I go back 3 to 5 seasons and check how they’ve done against each other.

What I look for:

  • Is one side dominating this matchup?
  • Are the games usually tight or wide open?
  • Have any big changes happened since the last few meetings? (new managers, key players out)

If Team A has beaten Team B in 4 of the last 5 meetings, and nothing has really changed, that sticks in my mind even if the bookies have the odds close in the football 1×2 predictions market.

Stick to What You Know

This one has saved me more money than any betting strategy out there. It’s easy to get drawn into random leagues, flashy odds, or tips on Twitter for teams you’ve never watched. But if you’re not familiar with the teams, don’t touch it.

I stick to leagues I follow closely and where I understand the teams, the managers, and even the little stuff like how a club reacts after a loss. I know how certain teams play under pressure, how they respond to early goals, or if their captain being injured makes a big difference.

Betting on football you don’t watch is like guessing. And guessing loses in the long run.

If you’re sharp on the Premier League, stay there. If you know the Belgian league inside out, work that edge. You don’t need to bet on everything—just bet where you’ve got the edge. Let others chase long shots in leagues they can’t even name five players from.

Winning at 1X2 isn’t magic. It’s about being brutally honest with yourself, putting in the gritty work to understand what really moves a match, having the discipline to only bet when the price is right, and managing your money like a pro. Avoid the traps, hunt for value, and stick to your plan. That’s how you move from funding the bookies to beating them, one smart bet at a time.